Estimation and Gradual Saturation for the Housing Need is the Key for the Sustainable Development in the Housing Sector- Iraq is an Evidence (Babylon Case study)

Abstract

Literature, at least in the past ten years has focused on the need for residential housing and need. And neglected the general trend of this need. We cannot deny the importance of the current need for housing. But there are an importance for the diagnosis of the general trend, and also there is more importance to highlight the need for housing in the future in order to control and direct the general trend of housing need or to modify it . Moreover, it will help us to assess and meet the need and reduce the deficit gradually. Sustainability in the Third World or developing countries, especially on the subject of the housing need , so far did not come out from the problem of the amount of need. Therefor we need a long time to talk about the qualitative aspect of the housing need. This research aims to predict the size of the housing need on the basis of the general trend of housing need. The most common tools are the least-squares or simple linear regression and by relying on historical data for time series acceptable and reasonable for the housing need. The general trend is not necessarily in line with what we wish often. And more importantly, to be an action guide for the future in the planning and help us to achieve the objectives which we wish and planned. Because the housing need is not a warehouse commodity can get it immediately. It is a complex process and is preceded it many steps it needs time and planning scientific nicely, and experts in the engineering, economics, sociology, finance. So we need to put in the hands of these experts, the evidence and real results to help them to put policies and plans. Whatever the results were, it will be under the influence of the general trend of the phenomenon.