The use of statistical forecasting using( ARIMA) model  to estimate the Unemployment in Egypt

مؤيد سلطان وهيب

Fulltext

The use of statistical forecasting using( ARIMA) model to estimate the Unemployment in Egypt

مؤيد سلطان وهيب

journal of kirkuk University For Administrative and Economic Sciences
2013, Volume 3, Issue 1, Pages 214-243

Abstract

Abstract This research aims to estimate the (ARIMA) model of the problem of unemployment in Egypt by using statistical data which is available on the internet for the period from 1990 to 2010 and future forecasting about unemployment which is determined about 9.7350 million in 2017.

Keywords

model ARIMA

Year	Total	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
2022	37	7	8	9	13
2021	159	26	20	12	10	12	31	11	8	5	10	6	8
2020	245	15	15	21	21	67	34	22	23	11	5	7	4
2019	805	13	13	17	17	10	29	110	88	123	111	118	156
2018	132	3	8	9	3	9	9	7	16	8	10	16	34
2017	130	13	14	10	10	19	6	5	5	12	14	8	14
2016	143	1		16	18	12	9	5	26	10	18	15	13
2015	198	13	18	17	17	11	18	12	9	16	17	24	26
2014	117	8	6	13	10	10	2	8	8	13	16	13	10
2013	26						1	2	2	5	7	6	3

The use of statistical forecasting using( ARIMA) model to estimate the Unemployment in Egypt

Abstract

Keywords

Metrics