Forecasting the number of road accidents in Dhi Qar Governorate in 2022 using the Boisson regression model

Abstract

In this study, we used the data of road accidents in Dhi Qar Governorate for the years 2014, 2015 and 2016 obtained from Dhi Qar Police Department of Criminal Statistics Department. The Poisson regression equation estimated by the method of maximum likelihood. This method is based on the principle of maximizing the likelihood function for the purpose of founding The parameters of the model and the possibilities of the maximum likelihood have some characteristics, such as their ability to be asympatotically unbiased , as well as to be asympatotically efficient and have approximated from normal, where this equation is used for forecasting traffic accidents in 2022.