Comparison & forecasting of Holt's-Winter, single and double exponential smoothing models with linear trend model and Application it's on the total National Resultant for economic Activities of non oil in Libya.

Abstract

AbstractThe aim of this study research is analysis of seasonal time series data by using the Holt's-Winter when we have multiplicative seasonal model and the additive seasonal model, Also single and double exponential seasonal model's with linear trend model and comparison these models by using accuracy measures which MAPE, AMD and MSD in order to approach to the best model for estimation and forecasting of the total national resultant for economic activities of non oil in Libya.