The use of the specimen seasonal multiplier to predict the monthly rates for temperatures Mosul city

Abstract

Considered models Box- Genghis important models in use in the time-series analysis and forecasting future values, and the importance of these models and for the purpose applied to one of the important climate elements that can be used to figure out the future of predictive values were used these models to predict the varying Great and minimum temperatures in the city of Mosul and the the importance of these grades for the country, which could benefit Meteorological Department and others in order to plan for the future of the country, in order to see the differences that affect the climate and the preparations for the coming years and using seasonal model multiplier has been getting the best of the proposed models, which have been estimated landmarks using the method parametric method possible Azam it was getting close to reality capabilities, which show that the estimated and the proposed model is an appropriate model for the data used in the research and on this basis it has been using the best model to predict future values of maximum temperatures dropping to the city of Mosul for the year 2013.