قياس أثر الانفتاح التجاري في النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة (2003-2016) باستخدام أنموذج (ARDL)

Abstract

This study aims to measure the impact of trade openness on economic growth in Iraq using a model (ARDL) duration (2003-2016) annual data were converted into quarterly data using a program (Eviews.9), and express trade openness exports + imports/GDP Overall, economic growth reflected the growth of per capita gross domestic product, the study found that trade openness negatively on economic growth in the short term, in the long term relationship between covariant, meaning that the impact of trade openness on Iraq appears in the term Long term economic growth, and the results showed that there is a relationship of mutual integration between variables, add the A two-way causal relationship between the two variables link problem-free model of self and unstable harmonies, and recommended the Bunting to take advantage of the benefits of trade openness in the diversification of the economic base in order to get rid of the State of the economy Unilateral oil based rental only, and switch to a diversified economy.