Measure and analmaharyze the impact of trade openness on economic growth in Iraq for the period (2004-2014)

Abstract

Taking the concept of trade openness to the outside increasingly important in recent times in view of the interest in the development process in most countries of the world, it is the openness of trade policy dumping the domestic market for goods and goods from the thorny and complex issues faced by most developing countries, including Iraq, as is trade opening one phenomenon of economic dependency standards which is relevant in the context of the capitalist system.Aim of the research is to measure and analyze the relationship between trade openness and economic growth in Iraq for the period (2004-2014) and reach the record results of the analysis to look for the following:1. alachtbar Statistical Pearson:A. correlation between trade openness and the average per capita GDP in US dollars and the average per capita GDP in Iraqi dinars and GDP in Iraqi dinars at constant prices and national income in Iraqi dinars is an inverse relationship and moral meaning it greater trade openness The lower this indicators.B. The correlation between trade openness and the unemployment rate is a direct correlation and moral that whenever any opening up of trade, the more the unemployment rate rose in Iraq.. 2 Estimate the regression equations:estimated four regression equations for each dependent variable and after subjecting statistical and economic tests, and the standard was selected equations and the results were as follows:If increased trade openness and one unit leads to a decrease in the average per capita GDP in US dollars increased by (250.0) US dollars and to the decline in average per capita GDP in Iraqi dinars by (200.0) million, and a decline in gross domestic product prices fixed amount (733.0) million, to the national income of the Iraqi dinar drop of (250.0) million, and an increase in the unemployment rate by (0.007), and recommended search the need for a trade protection policy and national production support through grants, loans and taxing Kmarkip goods contained and that can be produced locally and the trend towards commodity and service exports in the development of Iraq's largely outweigh imports of goods and services and avoid the phenomenon of economic dependency, by working to build and expand the production and export base.