خطة القبول في هيئة التعليم التقني الواقع وألآفاق

Abstract

Given the importance of technical education, which is occupied in Iraq by providing frameworks Central elements of the human campaign of technical diploma in engineering disciplines, administrative, health and others. Must put the necessary plans to ensure all requirements relating to the operation of scientific and technical cadres of teaching and infrastructure, workshops, laboratories and libraries full of scientific sources.This research aims to find a basic tool of the scheme is to predict numbers of students, candidates for admission to the Board of Studies morning and evening as well as the preparation of the teaching staff and technicians up to 2016 and the adoption of the data contained in the annual report of the Commission for the year 2010 and for the period from 2003_ 2010.Research has included both sides and are the theoretical side, which included an explanation of the methods of trend models and a linear model to predict the exponential square and practical side, which included the results of time series analysis and forecast, namely: -The number of students admitted and existing and graduates in colleges and technical institutes Studies morning and evening as well as the preparation of the teaching staff and technicians in the body.The trade-off has to choose the appropriate model for each series depending on the amount of error resulting from the application. The results can be summarized that have been reached in the following:1 - that the best model to predict the numbers of students admitted to the technical colleges is the exponential form yt = 2973 * (o.97) ** t and will number2133 students in 2016.2 - that the best model to predict the numbers of students admitted to the technical institutes is the square form yt = 30581-5614 * t 584t ** 2 and will number90,355 students in 2016.3 - that the best model to predict the numbers of teachers in colleges and technical institutes is the linear model yt = 1787 252 * t and pedagogy will number 5833 2016.4 - that the best model to predict the numbers of professionals in colleges and technical institutes is the square form yt = 3830 269 * t 17.9 * t ** 2, and will number 12,726 technically "in 2016.