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The forecast quantities of electrical energy consumed per month in Anbar province , for the period 2013- 2014 .
التنبوء لكميات الطاقة الكهربائية المستهلكة شهريا فـــــــــي محافظة الانبار للفترة 2013-2014

Author: Abdul Ali Hamad عبد علي حمد
Journal: AL-Anbar University journal of Economic and Administration Sciences مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية ISSN: 19988141 Year: 2015 Volume: 7 Issue: 14 Pages: 343-356
Publisher: University of Anbar جامعة الانبار

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Abstract

In this research addressed to predict the quantities of electric power consumed per month in Anbar province for the period 2013-2014 and found through the study of the time series of the quantities of electrical energy consumed per month for the period 2008- 2012 that the time series is nonstationary in the mean and varianceE and form is appropriate ARIMA (3,1,0) to convert the time series after a steady series by taking her first difference to be converted into a stable in the mean and taking the natural logarithm converter to convert them into stationary in variance and it gave the results of the model chosen in the wrong prediction.


Article
Aviation Risk Management to Forecast ,Evaluate Lufthansa Airline's Share Price
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Abstract

This article describes a study that goals to provide the whole scientific basis for application of Aviation Risk Management (ARM) for Lufthansa airline. The present study has appraised the use of many instrument and pointers that would be suitable integration into ARM. Aviation Risk Management element, outcomes show that E-views statically models of forecasting are convenient outfits to help a Lufthansa to evaluate price share .The tool ARM includes processes that have been evaluated during this research: correlation coefficients, prediction, forecasting and focused on an analysis of share price of Lufthansa. Search Results showed that the share prices of the Lufthansa airline are within the confidence limits (correlation coefficient at 0.84) In other words, that prices will be stable ( next three years) in the absence of the Company's exposure to risks as a result of external disasters, the company should take precautions to meet these challenges and to maintain and raise the share prices in the capital market.

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